1.2016 years of global PCB output statistics and industry development characteristics
According to Dr. Prismark Jiang Xugao, held in Shanghai on March 2017 CPCA Exhibition "CPCA spring forum" for the 2016 report: global each country / region PCB output value reached 54 billion 207 million U.S. dollars, down 2.02 percentage points higher than in 2015. It also reflects the decline in global PCB output for two consecutive years (2015 PCB annual growth rate of 3.68%). Dr Jiang made the following analysis:
"2016 is a challenging year. Performance: the demand is weak, especially in the PC, tablet computer and intelligent mobile phone market segments; significant price erosion of several products, such as FPC and substrate; disruptive technologies, such as Apple's A10 processor, TSMC and other new information; raw materials for a sudden burst of tension / shortage, such as electrolysis copper foil (mainly refers to the electronic circuit with electrolytic copper foil - the author note) and the thickness of the glass fiber cloth (mainly refers to the use of FR-4 material and reinforcing material -- 7628 cloth), lead to a sharp rise in substrate material cost, market and supply chain is anxious."
2.2016 countries / regions PCB output value
Dr Prismark, in this spring Forum Report, said: "the data show that in 2016 PCB production fell in almost all geographical regions, except for china. Some Chinese PCB companies, driven by the devaluation of the currency, the strong demand for consumer electronics products, achieved double-digit growth. 2016, China's PCB output value reached $27 billion 104 million, an annual growth rate of 1.43%. China, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, North America and other regions of the annual output value of PCB are negative growth. Negative growth rate (amplitude) of the largest countries / regions, followed by: other areas (mainly in South Asia, Southeast Asia), Japan, South Korea, China, Taiwan, North america."
Chinese Taiwan PCB output for two consecutive years of negative growth in 2015 and 2016, respectively -5.0%, -3.53%; PCB of South Korea for three consecutive years output fell sharply, from $8 billion 142 million in 2013, three consecutive years dropped to $6 billion 234 million in 2016. 2016 annual growth rate of -6.10%. In 2016, the output value of each country / region is a special case of PCB, which is in other areas (mainly in South Asia and Southeast Asia). It is a substantial growth from years of production (2014: 5.76%; 2015: 2.22%), in 2016 an annual growth rate of -9.47%, become 2016 years in all countries / regions showed the largest decline in.
According to Dr. Prismark Jiang reported at the March 2017 CPCA exhibition will be staged on 2016 statistical data released by the PCB value, the author summed up as shown in Table 1 from 2013 to 2016 the global various countries / regions and PCB output value accounted for the total global market share statistics data (data in this table, all cited statistics, Prismark over the years the published data).
Output value distribution of different PCB varieties in 3.2016 years
Prismark Dr. Jiang in the March 2016 CPCA spring Forum Report, the global PCB output value in 2015 has been introduced and analyzed. The author quotes as follows, as compared to the change of PCB value in 2016: "compared with 2014, -4.1% single / double plate production increased in 2015, multilayer production increased -5.2%, HDI in value added -3.3%, HDI board despite the rising demand, but the price is becoming increasingly fierce, the price is not so strong. Package substrate output value increased by -8.9%, poor performance. Due to the wide application of intelligent terminals to FPC, making the flexible circuit board output value increased by 2.8%, it is still the highlight of the industry."
For changes in the global PCB value of different types of CPCA in 2016, Dr. Prismark ginger in a speech held on March 2017 in the spring forum, released its survey data. From the point of view: single / double sided board and multilayer board by the negative growth rate in 2015 into positive growth. Dr Jiang explained this change: "it is worth noting that the rigidity and multilayer board made 1% to 2% growth. As of 2017, the global PCB market is expected to grow by 2%, driven by high-end smartphones, new PCB technologies, and a modest global economic recovery."
Flexible plate output value in 2016, a larger decline, the annual growth rate of -7.6%. This may also be associated with the global (mainly South Korea) mobile phone market has not increased significantly. HDI board and packaging substrate with the same situation in 2015, the annual growth rate is still negative.
4 global PCB market trends outlook
Dr. Prismark reported on the global PCB output value and the PCB output value of different varieties (2016, 3), as predicted in the following year (from 2016 to 2021).
From table 2, the forecast 2017 global PCB output value will reverse the decline in 2016, 2%. The average annual growth rate of PCB output value (CAAGR) for six years from 2016 to 2021 is.
Forecast in 2017 the annual growth rate of flexible plate output was 4.1%, the growth rate of the highest in the top five varieties PCB. It is predicted to remain the biggest growth in demand in 2021. By 2021 the proportion of the total output value of various types of flexible plate output value will be increased from 20.1% in 2016 to $20.9%.
Although the HDI board in 2016 the negative growth in output value, but the market outlook for the next few years, is still optimistic. Prismark forecast 2017 HDI board annual growth rate will reach 2.9%. It's 2016 to an average annual growth rate of total output value in 2021 six years the rate of PCB (CAAGR), Prismark forecast of 2.8%, followed by becoming flexible plate output growth rate ranked second output CAAGR (2016 ~ 2021) PCB variety of high.
Prismark makes some analysis and forecast on the development trend of PCB global regional market: